- The Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors matchup on March, 30th
- Golden State is at risk of slipping into the bottom half of the Western Conference playoff picture
- Read below for the latest Suns vs Warriors odds and our betting preview
Viewed as the two best teams in the league earlier in the season, this game looked set to be a potential decider for the top seed. Instead, injuries have hampered the Warriors, and they face the Suns on Wednesday night under pressure from teams below them. The Dubs are six-point underdogs for this contest — it’s just the second time this season they’ve been an underdog in San Francisco.
Phoenix has been a regular-season juggernaut on the back of their Finals appearance. They have eight more wins than any other team, and they come into this one on an eight-game winning streak. Monty Williams’ club is 30-6 on the road for the season, and they own a 16-10 record against the spread as road favorites this season.
Suns vs Warriors Odds
|Phoenix Suns||-6 (-110)||-250||Over 224.5 (-110)|
|Golden State Warriors||+6 (-110)||+205||Under 224.5 (-110)|
Odds as of Mar 30 at FanDuel
Chris Paul is back in action for the Suns, but the NBA’s best team is still missing some important rotation pieces. Cameron Johnson has sat out the last 12 with a quadriceps issue, and it doesn’t seem like he’ll return for this one. JaVale McGee is listed as out for Wednesday’s matchup with his former team. Fortunately, Bismack Biyombo has been doing a solid job as the backup five.
The Warriors had Tuesday night off, meaning Draymond Green and Klay Thompson should both be available. Steph Curry remains out with a sprained ligament in his foot, and James Wiseman has been ruled out for the season, but no other names appear on the Warriors’ injury report.
After running some interesting lineups against Memphis last time out, the Dubs are going to be closer to full strength. Chris Chiozza isn’t going to get 20 minutes off the bench.
Warriors’ Recent Struggles
Golden State has a -2.5 net rating in non-Curry minutes this season. They have lost six of their last seven. The last three of those losses were all by eight or more points. While Jordan Poole’s play has been a bright spark (he’s averaging 26.9 points per game over the last seven), Golden State is simply not a good team without Curry.
There have been public comments from Green about poor defensive effort, but any amount of defense cannot compensate for having the 29th-best offense over this period. Clearly focused on being healthy for the playoffs, this is a team that is not particularly motivated by regular-season basketball right now. In truth, even if they are motivated, the offense is relatively ineffective without Curry.
Stuttering on offense is particularly worrying when facing this Phoenix team. They might only be seventh in defensive rating since the All-Star break, but as they showed down the stretch against the Sixers a couple of days ago, they have a level they can go to on the defensive end which can lock up even the league’s elite teams.
On the other end, the Suns are joint-second in offensive rating since All-Star. Paul has returned and has immediately been back to his early-season form. Devin Booker continues to post big numbers, and Deandre Ayton has been able to take on a bigger role when required (this is a game where his size will make him a key offensive weapon).
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Back the Suns
Phoenix has been relentless in this regular season. Whether having to overcome key absences or overturn late deficits, the Suns have been absolutely dominant. Their +8.5 net rating is the best in the league, and this eight-game winning run is further confirmation of their two-way prowess. Seven of the eight wins have been by seven or more points.
The Warriors don’t have the offense to keep up with the Suns in Curry’s absence. Their defense has only been around league average since the break, which isn’t enough to trouble this Suns team.
While Golden State is 20-16-2 against the spread at home this season, we’ve got to go with the Suns to cover here. There’s no sign of easing off late in the season from Booker and co — they’ll be keen to deliver another statement performance.
Pick: Suns -6 (-110)
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