- Kansas is a 4.5-point favorite over Villanova in the NCAA Tournament national semifinal Saturday
- The winner plays Duke or North Carolina in the championship game
- A look at the odds and matchup can be found below with a prediction
Villanova will be looking to get a step closer to its third national title in eight years when it meets Kansas at 6:09 p.m. ET Saturday in an NCAA Tournament national semifinal at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
Both teams bring nine-game winning streaks into the game and Villanova has 14 of its last 15. The Wildcats won it all in 2016 and 2018 while Kansas’ last national title came in 2008.
Villanova (30-7/20-15-2 ATS) advanced by beating Houston 50-44 in the South Region final Saturday. A day later, Kansas (32-6/19-19 ATS) downed Miami 76-50 in the Midwest Region final.
Villanova vs Kansas Odds
|Villanova||+165||+4.5 (-110)||Over 132.5 (-113)|
|Kansas||-200||-4.5 (-109)||Under 132.5 (-108)|
Odds as of April 1st at Barstool Sportsbook.
Kansas is a 4.5-point favorite in the game that will be shown on TBS. At -200 on the moneyline, the Jayhawks have an implied win probability of 66.67%. The line opened with Kansas as a 3.5-point favorite and has moved a full point toward the Jayhawks.
The winner advances to play Duke or North Carolina in the championship game Monday night in the March Madness bracket. Kansas has +225 odds to win the NCAA Tournament and Villanova’s odds are +450.
Villanova Betting Outlook
Villanova has covered each of its four games in the NCAA Tournament. The Wildcats are 20-3 straight-up in the NCAA since 2016.
Villanova will be playing without junior guard Justin Moore, who suffered a torn Achilles in the win over Houston. He finished the season averaging 14.8 points, 4.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists.
Jay Wright said Kevin Durant was great to call Justin Moore who tore his Achilles
“I gave him Justin’s number and he Facetimed Justin. They had a great talk. Justin said it was really comforting to know and to know that he’s got him as kind of an advisor on his way through this” pic.twitter.com/mzY5ZemRr5
— John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) March 31, 2022
Moore is second on the team in scoring to senior guard Collin Gillespie, who has a 15.6 average and is also dishing 3.3 assists a contest. Houston held Gillespie to six points, his third-lowest total of the season, on 1-of-6 shooting, including 0 for 4 on three-pointers.
Gillespie is listed at +9000 in the Wooden Award odds.
Senior forward Jermaine Samuels picked up the slack with 16 points and 10 rebounds for his fourth double-double of the season. Samuels is averaging 11.1 points and 6.5 rebounds.
In four games of the tournament, Samuels is scoring at 17.5-point clip. He was named the Most Outstanding Player of the South Region.
— CBS Sports (@CBSSports) March 26, 2022
Senior guard Caleb Daniels had a season-high in field goal attempts last weekend and went just 4 of 16 while finishing with 12 points, six rebounds and four assists. His season scoring average is 10.2
Villanova won despite shooting 28.8% (15 of 52) from the field but was a perfect 15 of 15 at the foul line. The Wildcats limited Houston to 17 of 59 (29.8%) overall and 1 of 20 (5.0%) from beyond the arc.
Kansas Betting Outlook
Kansas has been the winning side against the spread in six of its last eight games but is just 2-2 versus the number in the NCAA Tournament. The Jayhawks have gone 44-16 S-U in the NCAAs under coach Bill Self.
Ochai Agbaji led the way against Miami as Kansas stormed back from a 35-29 halftime deficit by outscoring the Hurricanes 47-15 in the final 20 minutes. The senior guard had 18 points, five rebounds, four assists and four steals.
Best video I got yesterday: Bill Self pulls aside Ochai Agbaji to have a heart to heart in the middle of the celebration on stage. Special moment pic.twitter.com/xqatbjpxxi
— Sully Engels (@sullyengels) March 28, 2022
Agbaji’s performance came two days after he scored a season-low five points in a win over Providence. For the season, Agbaji is averaging 18.9 points and 5.2 rebounds a game.
Agbaji’s Wooden Award odds are +1200.
Senior forward David McCormack scored 15 points despite being listed as questionable before the game because of a stiff neck. He has averages of 10.1 points and 6.8 rebounds.
Junior guard Christian Braun added 12 points, six rebounds and four assists, lifting his season averages to 14.3, 6.5 and 2.7.
Senior guard Remy Martin scored just nine points Sunday but grabbed six rebounds and was named MOP of the Midwest Region for his strong floor game.
Remy Martin is fired up 😤😤
— 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐒𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐍𝐞𝐰𝐬 (@sportingnews) March 26, 2022
Kansas shot 50.0% (29 of 58) while holding Miami to 34.5% (19 of 55) and out-rebounding the Hurricanes 41-28.
A fourth Jayhawks player who is scoring in double figures is sophomore forward Jalen Wilson at 11.0. He also leads the team with 7.4 rebounds a game.
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Villanova vs Kansas Prediction
Villanova has won four of five meetings with Kansas since 2013. The last matchup came on Dec. 21, 2019, and the Wildcats notched a 56-55 victory at the Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia.
Samuels had 15 points for Villanova and Gillespie added 12. Kansas got 11 points, four assists and three steals from Agbaji.
Villanova will certainly miss Moore in this matchup but has the depth to keep it close against the Jayhawks.
The Pick: Villanova +4.5 (-110)
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