- Same-game parlays are a fun wager to make if you’re trying to cash big
- Like playing the lottery, you can wager a little to win a lot, and while they rarely hit there are ways to correlate your bet to increase your chance of success
- See the crazy 650-1 same-game parlay we made for Super Bowl 56 below
Super Bowl 56 is the last NFL game to wager on until September, so why not swing for the fences. A same-game parlay (SGP) is a great opportunity to do just that. The odds may be stacked against you, but if your SGP comes through, you’ll inject some serious capital into your bankroll.
The important thing to remember when trying to build a SGP is that correlation is king. You want to try and structure your bet in a way that allows you to profit if a game plays out the way you expect.
Los Angeles is 4-point favorite over Cincinnati in the 2022 Super Bowl odds, and while the biggest bets on Super Bowl 56 are backing the Bengals, I’m looking to build a parlay that fades some of their best players.
Rams vs Bengals Same-Game Parlay Picks
|Los Angeles Rams Moneyline||-200|
|Game Total Under 48.5||-110|
|Cincinnati Bengals Team Total Under 22.5||-118|
|Joe Burrow Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes||+125|
|Ja’Marr Chase Under 79.5 Receiving Yards||-109|
|Tee Higgins Over 69.5 Receiving Yards||-113|
|Samaje Perine Over 9.5 Receiving Yards||-114|
|Cam Akers Under 64.5 Rushing Yards||-108|
|Van Jefferson Over 31.5 Receiving Yards||-110|
|Odell Beckham Jr. Anytime TD||+140|
|Cooper Kupp Anytime TD||-165|
Odds as of Feb. 12th at Barstool Sportsbook
One of the reasons LA is favored over Cincinnati in the Rams vs Bengals odds, is the play of its defense. Led by Aaron Donald, LA finished fifth on defense per DVOA, and is the highest graded unit Cincy has faced all season.
1. Los Angeles Rams Moneyline
Donald, Von Miller and Leonard Floyd have the talent to absolutely wreck this game. The Bengals are only one game removed from giving up nine sacks to Tennessee in the Divisional Round, and Joe Burrow is likely to be under duress all game.
PFF’s pass rush win rate for both team’s top rushers
1) Aaron Donald – 22.3%
2) Trey Hendrickson – 21.6%
3) Von Miller – 19.4%
4) Leonard Floyd – 16.2%
5) Sam Hubbard – 12.5%
6) BJ Hill – 12.2%
7) DJ Reader – 9.4%
8) Greg Gaines – 9.3%
— Goodbrrrrr (@JoeGoodberry) February 12, 2022
The Rams own PFF’s highest graded pass rush, while Cincy’s o-line graded out 13th among 14 playoff teams this season. LA is 8-1 straight up in its past nine games, holding opponents to an average of 18 points per contest.
2. Game Total Under 48.5
Not surprisingly, given the play of their defense, the under is 6-1 in the Rams’ last seven games in Los Angeles – site of Super Bowl 56. The Bengals meanwhile, have seen all three of their playoff games fall short of the total.
— SportsBook Breakers (@SBBreakers) February 12, 2022
As for Super Bowl history, the under has hit in three consecutive years.
3. Cincinnati Bengals Team Total Under 22.5
Cincinnati has faced four top-12 rated defenses per DVOA this season, and have averaged only 18.5 points in those contests. In all other games this season, they’re averaging over 28 points. No wonder the Bengals are getting 4 points.
4. Joe Burrow Under 1.5 Touchdown Passes
If we expect the Bengals to struggle to score, we have to fade Burrow TD props for finding the end zone. Burrow didn’t throw a touchdown pass against the Titans in the Divisional Round, and has failed to reach two TD tosses in six of his past 11 games.
5. Ja’Marr Chase Under 79.5 Receiving Yards
There won’t be too many people looking to fade Ja’Marr Chase this weekend. He’s fresh off winning Offensive Rookie of the Year, but as Cincy’s biggest playmaker you can expect LA to scheme their coverage to try to take him away.
— Overtime (@overtime) February 5, 2022
That’s precisely what KC successfully did in the AFC Championship Game, holding him to 54 receiving yards. Expect the Bengals to find other ways to get him involved, particularly with jet sweeps. Over 3.5 rushing yards for Chase is a great bet if you can find it.
BetMGM Super Bowl Bonus – Get $560 Bonus for Bengals vs Rams
6. Tee Higgins Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
Tee Higgins averaged only one target less per game than Chase, and has out targeted him in back-to-back playoff games. He’s racked up 103 and 96 receiving yards in those outings, and should see increased opportunity against the Rams with most of the attention on Chase.
7. Samaje Perine Over 9.5 Receiving Yards
If we expect Cincinnati to be trailing, Samaje Perine’s snaps will increase in catch-up mode. He’s already the team’s primary passing down back and has 11 games on his 2021 season resume with at least 10 receiving yards.
8. Cam Akers Under 64.5 Rushing Yards
Cam Akers is listed as questionable on the final Rams vs Bengals injury report with a shoulder issue. He’ll also be dealing with more competition for touches this week, as Darrell Henderson will join him and Sony Michael to form a crowded backfield.
The #Rams officially activated RB Darrell Henderson and NT Sebastian Joseph-Day from Injured Reserve… but placed TE Tyler Higbee and OT Joseph Noteboom on IR. Both are out for Sunday.
— Ian Rapoport (@RapSheet) February 11, 2022
Since returning from injury in Week 18, Akers has yet to clear 55 rushing yards in a game.
9. Van Jefferson Over 31.5 Receiving Yards
Van Jefferson should be in line for more targets with Tyler Higbee already ruled out. Jefferson is averaging 16 yards per target this season, and has eclipsed 31 receiving yards 12 times.
10. Odell Beckham Jr. Anytime TD
Matthew Stafford has thrown at least two touchdown passes in five straight games, and in nine of his past 10 starts. Stafford is currently the Super Bowl MVP favorite. Cooper Kupp is clearly his favorite target, but he also loves force-feeding Odell Beckham Jr in the red zone. Beckham has scored in six of 11 games since joining the Rams, with all but one of his touchdowns coming from inside 8 yards.
11. Cooper Kupp Anytime TD
No need to overthink this one. Kupp was just named Offensive Player of the Year, and led all receivers with 16 TD. He’s scored in five straight games, and is fresh off a multi-touchdown performance in the NFC Championship Game.
More Super Bowl 56 Content
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