- Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Final between the Heat and Celtics tips off tonight (May 27, 8:30pm ET)
- A full menu of NBA player props are available for the contest
- See below to find out where we think the betting value lies
One night after the Golden State Warriors punched their NBA Finals ticket, the Boston Celtics will look to also accomplish the feat. Boston takes a 3-2 series lead into Game 6 of the Eastern Conference Finals, and with a victory will get back into the championship round for the first time since 2010.
There are plenty of ways to bet this pivotal contest, but perhaps the most value can be found in the player props market. A full menu of props have already been posted, so check out the odds below plus a few bets to target.
NBA Player Props – Friday, May 27
|Heat vs Celtics||Points||Rebounds||Assists||Three Pointers Made|
|Bam Adebayo (MIA)||16.5 (Ov -110 / Un -120)||9.5 (Ov +105 / Un -130)||2.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)||OFF|
|Jimmy Butler (MIA)||22.5 (Ov -115 / Un -110)||6.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)||4.5 (Ov +110 / Un -150)||0.5 (Ov -195 / Un +150)|
|P.J. Tucker (MIA)||7.5 (Ov +105 / Un -130)||5.5 (Ov -130 / Un +100)||OFF||0.5 (Ov -250 / Un +185)|
|Al Horford (BOS)||10.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)||8.5 (Ov -135 / Un +105)||3.5 (Ov +135 / Un -180)||1.5 (Ov +130 / Un -170)|
|Jaylen Brown (BOS)||24.5 (Ov -110 / Un -115)||6.5 (Ov +105 / Un -140)||2.5 (Ov -150 / Un +115)||3.5 (Ov +135 / Un -180)|
|Jayson Tatum (BOS)||27.5 (Ov -105 / Un -120)||6.5 (Ov -115 / Un -115)||5.5 (Ov +105 / Un -135)||3.5 (Ov +120 / Un -155)|
|Marcus Smart (BOS)||11.5 (Ov -125 / Un -105)||OFF||5.5 (Ov +100 / Un -135)||1.5 (Ov -170 / Un +130)|
Odds as of May 26th at DraftKings Sportsbook.
As of Friday morning, there is a laundry list of Heat players dealing with injuries. P.J. Tucker is among them, and despite a nagging knee issue he is expected to play. That’s good news for us, as he’s a prime fade candidate in the points department.
Pick #1: P.J. Tucker Under 7.5 Points
If Miami is forced to rely on Tucker’s offense in Game 6 as 8.5-point underdogs, chances are things are not going as planned. The grizzled veteran is a defensive and rebounding specialist, who is capable of knocking down corner three’s, but is by far the team’s last offensive resort.
Tucker has scored 7 or fewer points in four of the first five games of the ECF, and was shut out in Game 4. He’s shooting just 33.2% for the series, and his injury concern gives us an additional out for this bet to fall under if it flares back up.
Tyler Herro was upgraded to questionable for Game 6 on the Heat’s latest injury report.
Kyle Lowry, Max Strus, P.J. Tucker and Gabe Vincent are all also questionable for Game 6.
— Keith Smith (@KeithSmithNBA) May 26, 2022
Boston boasts the second best defensive rating in the playoffs, and did a number on Tucker during the regular season as well. In three regular season games versus the Celtics, Tucker averaged 1.7 points per outing, despite averaging nearly 27 minutes of playing time.
Pick: P.J. Tucker Under 7.5 Points (-130)
2022 NBA Championship Odds Tracker
Pick #2: Al Horford Over 12.5 Rebounds + Assists
Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum may get all the publicity, but there’s an argument to be made that no Boston player is more important to the team’s success than Al Horford.
The 35-year-old is a force at both ends of the floor and provides the kind of leadership that championship contenders need. He’s dominated on the glass all postseason long, and is one of the more underrated distributors in this series.
“Al is our leader. I’ve been fortunate to have Al has a teammate for 3 years. He’s been great for me and my development. Just the ultimate professional. It’s no surprise how he takes care of himself and performs in big games” – Jayson Tatum on Al Horford
— Bun (@bunrxm) May 24, 2022
If we throw out Game 2, his first action since returning from the health and safety protocols, Horford is averaging a combined 15 rebounds and assists per game. He’s racked up at least three assists in 11 straight playoff outings, and has cleared 12.5 rebounds + assists in seven of his last 10 postseason contests.
With a chance to close out the Heat on Friday, expect a monster game Horford, especially in the rebounding and assist departments.
Pick: Al Horford Over 12.5 Rebounds and Assists (-105)
The post Heat vs Celtics Game 6 Player Props – Best Bets and Player Over/Unders for Friday’s Eastern Conference Finals Matchup appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.