- The St Louis Cardinals are solid -120 road favorites over the Cincinnati Reds in a National League game scheduled for Tuesday, August 30
- Entering play Monday, St. Louis has won seven of 11 games from Cincinnati this season
- Get the Cardinals vs Reds odds and best bets, below
Last year, the Cincinnati Reds (50-76, 26-36 home) won the season series from the St Louis Cardinals (74-54, 32-32 away) for the first time since 2011. As far as doing so again in 2022, that ship hasn’t set sail yet, but the Reds’ hopes are sinking fast.
With seven games left to play against each other, Cincinnati trails St Louis 7-4 overall. The Reds met the Cardinals Monday in the opener of a three-game home set.
Just two wins away from clinching the season set, oddsmakers are placing the Cardinals at -210 favorites to win over Cincinnati on Tuesday. St Louis is a National League-best 36-18 against the runline following a loss.
Cardinals vs Reds Odds
|St Louis Cardinals||-210||-1.5 (-130)||O 10 (-105)|
|Cincinnati Reds||+175||+1.5 (+110)||U 10 (-115)|
Odds as of August 29 at Caesars Sportsbook. Get the Caesars Sportsbook bonus code to bet on MLB today.
First pitch at Great American Ball Park is set for 6:40pm ET on Tuesday, August 30. Clear skies with 11 mph wind and a temperature of 87 degrees are in the weather forecast.
At odds of -210, the Cardinals have an implied probability of victory of 67.74% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on St Louis would deliver a payout of $14.80.
In the MLB Division odds, the betting line is displaying the Cardinals as the +1000 favorite to win the NL Central. Cincinnati is the fifth betting choice at +154976 in the division. The MLB pennant odds show St Louis at +1200 and the Reds at +400000. In the World Series odds, St Louis is +2600 and Cincinnati is +500000.
St Louis vs Cincinnati Probable Pitchers
Tuesday’s MLB lineups show a battle of right-handers between Dakota Hudson of the Cardinals and Justin Dunn of the Reds. Control is proving to be an problem for Hudson. He’s issued a NL-high 55 bases on balls.
Hudson is in the bottom 3% of MLB pitchers in strikeout percentage (13.7), xERA (5.19) and Max EV (116.9) He’s in the bottom 7% in xBA (.277) and the bottom 10% of xwOBA (.349).
Dakota Hudson was pitching for a series win. He was also pitching to make a case to remain in the rotation, at least for the time being.
He was quite, quite good today. 7 IP on 97 pitches, 5 H, two ER, 4 K’s and just 2 BB’s, his biggest ailment this year. Big spot for him.
— Katie Woo (@katiejwoo) August 25, 2022
Hudson has faced the Reds twice this season. He got win in a 5-0 victory April 23 at Cincinnati. He worked 6.2 innings, allowing two hits. On June 12, Cincinnati beat Hudson 7-6. He allowed six earned runs in seven innings. Over his career, Hudson is 6-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 10 appearances facing the Reds.
Hudson vs Dunn
Recalled from Triple-A Louisville on August 8, right-hander Justin Dunn has made four starts this month. The team is 2-2 in those games.
Turning in his first quality start in his last outing against the Philadelphia Phillies, Dunn worked six innings, allowing two earned runs and striking out five against two walks. This will be his second home start for the Reds.
Justin Dunn, Nasty 79mph Curveball. 😨 pic.twitter.com/bwdO6uaApU
— Rob Friedman (@PitchingNinja) August 26, 2022
Dunn took the bump in Cincinnati on August 14 to face the Chicago Cubs and it didn’t go well. He surrendered five earned runs and seven hits, including three home runs, over 3.2 innings pitched.
He’ll be facing the Cardinals for the first time as a big-league pitcher.
Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers
|Cardinals Batters||Batting Average vs Dunn||Reds Batters||Batting Average vs Hudson|
|Nolan Arenado||.000||Aristides Aquino||.222|
|Dylan Carson||.000||Jose Barrero||.000|
|Paul DeJong||.000||Stuart Fairchild||.000|
|Corey Dickerson||.000||Kyle Farmer||.200|
|Brendan Donovan||.000||Jake Fraley||.000|
|Tommy Edman||.000||TJ Friedl||.667|
|Paul Goldschmidt||.000||Jonathan India||.000|
|Nolan Gorman||.000||Alejo Lopez||.000|
|Andrew Knizner||.000||Colin Moran||.182|
|Yadier Molina||.000||Chuckie Robinson||.000|
|Lars Nootbaar||.000||Austin Romine||.000|
|Tyler O’Neill||.000||Nick Senzel||.222|
|Albert Pujols||.250||Donovan Solano||.000|
Albert Pujols is the only Cardinals batter to have previously faced Dunn in an MLB game. The future Hall of Famer is 1-for-4 (.250), but that one hit was a two-run homer.
Albert Pujols has hit a HR off of 449 unique pitchers and has faced 1755 unique pitchers.
Albert Pujols has hit a HR off of 3.94% and has faced 15.4% of all unique pitchers in recorded MLB history.
Those are both the highest percentages in MLB history.
— Greg Harvey (@BetweenTheNums) August 23, 2022
Cincinnati batters really haven’t enjoyed much success against Hudson. TJ Friedl is 2-for-3 with two RBI. Colin Moran has homered and driven in two runs.
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Cardinals vs Reds Prediction
Traditionally, August has been Hudson’s winningest month of the season. He’s 9-3 with 2.93 ERA in the eighth month of the year. Indeed, St Louis has won three of his four starts so far this month and he’s 1-0.
⚾ Root, root, root for the Redlegs!
— The Banks (@TheBanksCincy) August 29, 2022
St Louis is 23-7 over the past 30 games, while Cincinnati is 7-13 over the past 20. The Cardinals are also a solid 33-19 straight up against NL Central opposition.
Pick: St Louis Cardinals ML (-210)
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