- The Green Bay Packers host the Chicago Bears on Sunday Night Football
- SNF Week 1 player prop bet record: 1-3; Overall: 1-3, -1.95 units
- A look at the best passing yards, longest reception and touchdown scorer Bears vs Packers props can be found below
Save for a Mike Evans score, we were pretty much fed our lunch in Week 1’s rundown of player props for Sunday Night Football.
The beauty of the NFL, of course, is that we can get right back into it with a great week, which is what we intend to do in Week 2, when the Chicago Bears visit the Green Bay Packers as 10-point underdogs.
Green Bay is currently looking up at Chicago and Minnesota in the NFC North standings, after they were humbled by the Vikings 23-7.
The Bears slip n’ slided their way to an upset over the 49ers in monsoon-like conditions at Solider Field.
Kickoff from Lambeau Field goes at 8:20pm ET, in a game that can be seen live on NBC.
Temperatures are expected in the mid-70s with clear skies.
With that, let’s run down the available NFL player props and a few of our favorite picks.
Bears vs Packers Player Props
|Passer||Completions||Passing Yards||Passing TDs|
|Aaron Rodgers (GB)||23.5 (O +105 | U -135)||250.5 (O -115 | U -115)||1.5 (O -200 | U +150)|
|Justin Fields (CHI)||17.5 (O -130 | U +100)||196.5 (O -115) | U -115)||0.5 (O -220 | U +160)|
|Rusher||Rushing Attempts||Rushing Yards||Longest Rush|
|Aaron Jones (GB)||OFF||56.5 (O -115) | U -115)||14.5 (O -110 | U -120)|
|AJ Dillon (GB)||OFF||50.5 (O -120 | U -110)||OFF|
|David Montgomery (CHI)||13.5 (O -105 | U -125)||45.5 (O -115) | U -115)||11.5 (O +100 | U -135)|
|Justin Fields (CHI)||OFF||35.5 (O -115) | U -115)||12.5 (O -130 | U -105)|
|Khalil Herbert (CHI)||OFF||23.5 (O -115) | U -115)||9.5 (O +105 | U -135)|
|Receiver||Receptions||Receiving Yards||Longest Reception|
|Aaron Jones (GB)||OFF||31.5 (O -110 | U -120)||14.5 (O -110 | U -120)|
|Allen Lazard (GB)||OFF||37.5 (O -115 | U -115)||18.5 (O -110 | U -120)|
|Byron Pringle (CHI)||OFF||15.5 (O -120 | U -110)||11.5 (O -120 | U -110)|
|Cole Kmet (CHI)||2.5 (O -150 | U +110)||28.5 (O -110 | U -120)||15.5 (O -110 | U -120)|
|Dante Pettis (CHI)||OFF||13.5 (O -120 | U -110)||11.5 (O -110 | U -120)|
|Darnell Mooney (CHI)||3.5 (O +115 | U -155)||48.5 (O -115 | U -115)||19.5 (O -120 | U -110)|
|David Montgomery (CHI)||2.5 (O -140 | U+105)||17.5 (O -115 | U -115)||10.5 (O -115 | U -115)|
|Equanimeous St. Brown (CHI)||1.5 (O -200 | U +150)||21.5 (O -120 | U -110)||13.5 (O -125 | U -110)|
Odds as of September 10th at DraftKings Sportsbook
In the odds above, Aaron Rodgers is favored to throw for at least two touchdowns, while Justin Fields has even shorter odds to go over 0.5 TD passes.
The highest rushing total goes to Aaron Jones at 56.5 yards, and the highest receiving total is Bears’ pass-catcher Darnell Mooeny at 48.5 yards.
Prop #1: Rodgers TD Passes & Fields Passing Yards
Death, taxes and Aaron Rodgers owning the Bears.
That’s pretty much been the script since Rodgers became the no. 1 guy in Green Bay. He’s won 22 of his 27 starts against Chicago, and has thrown 66 touchdowns to just 10 interceptions.
“I STILL OWN YOU!”
Aaron Rodgers to Bears fans 🍿
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) October 17, 2021
He definitely had his struggles against the Vikes last week, failing to connect for a TD pass, throwing for just 195 yards and an interception, but in his last two years, where he’s won MVP twice, Rodgers has thrown less than two TD’s in a game four times.
In every subsequent start, he followed it up with four TD passes, which is why oddsmakers had to strip some value off that TD pass total. Still, take the win while you can and move on.
As for Justin Fields, he threw for 121 yards and a pair of TD’s in a 19-10 win over San Francisco. Big-yardage passing days may be coming, but it’s been a stunted development. In his 13 career starts, the second-year pivot has just four games where he’s passed for better than 200 yards.
— Just Another Year Chicago (@OfficialJAYCHI) December 12, 2021
One of those was against a Green Bay side in December 2021, where he went 18-for-33 for 224 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
With Green Bay’s offense not as potent (yet) as they adjust to life without Davante Adams, their defense will be key in securing a win and shutting down Chicago’s pivot.
- Pick: Rodgers OVER 1.5 TD passes (-200); 2 units to win 1 unit
- Pick: Fields UNDER 196.5 yards passing (-115); 1 unit to win 0.87 units
Prop #2: AJ Dillon Rush Yards & Aaron Jones Receiving Yards
As mentioned, Green Bay’s pass attack is down a vital cog in Adams from a year ago, so Green Bay should be relying on the run game and a solid defense as the backbone of their success.
.@ajdillon7 takes it in for the score!
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) September 11, 2022
We’re expecting the Pack to play frontunners in this one, which should open up the ground game for Dillon, who’s as close to a top option as you can get in a timeshare.
Last week, he had 10 rushes to Aaron Jones’ five, and piled up 45 yards and a touchdown. Look for the Packers to feed him and bleed out the clock, especially in the second half.
If a head coach says they need to get a player more touches, believe them.
This is an Aaron Jones tweet.
Big bounce back on tap this week.
— Frank Ammirante (@FAmmiranteTFJ) September 16, 2022
As for Jones, he was targeted five times, making three catches for 27 yards in the loss to Minnesota. He’s one of the pass catchers that Rodgers does trust, and he should figure more prominently into the gameplan.
Last year, Jones was right around this receiving total in two games with vs the Bears, going for 30 yards on three catches on Dec 12, and 34 yards on four grabs on October 17.
- Pick: Dillon OVER 50.5 yards rushing (-120); 0.75 units to win 0.62 units
- Pick: Jones OVER 31.5 yards receiving (-110); 0.75 units to win 0.68 units
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Bears vs Packers Scoring Props
|Player||Odds to Score 1st TD||Odds to Score Any TD|
|Aaron Jones (GB)||+500||-115|
|AJ Dillon (GB)||+600||+110|
|Robert Tonyan (GB)||+950||+180|
|Allen Lazard (GB)||+1000||+200|
|David Montgomery (CHI)||+1500||+230|
|Sammy Watkins (GB)||+1200||+240|
|Randall Cobb (GB)||+1300||+255|
|Darnell Mooney (CHI)||+1700||+270|
|Justin Fields (CHI)||+1400||+310|
|Romeo Doubs (GB)||+1600||+320|
|Christian Watson (GB)||+1600||+320|
Bears vs Packers Touchdown Scorer Odds
With Dillon the short-yardage, red-zone hammer, there’s good value getting him to score any time at plus odds.
Looking for a little more juice? Randall Cobb has scored a touchdown in four of his last five home appearances against the Bears, while Allen Lazard has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances against NFC North opponents.
- Pick: Cobb anytime TD scorer (+255); 1 units to win 2.55 units
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